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US Weekly

US Weekly Market Overview

(Week from March 3 , 2008 to March 7, 2008)

Bargain hunting lifted Alcoa (AA), Caterpillar (CAT) and other selected issues. The Institute for Supply Management's manufacturing index fell to 48.3 in February from 50.7 in January, showing a contraction in factory activity.  U.S. construction spending dropped 1.7% in January, more than the 0.7% decline that was expected, after a 1.3% drop in December.  Higher oil prices accompanied these reports, keeping fears of inflation alive. On Monday, Dow closed down 7.49 points, or 0.06%, at 12,258.90.   During late trading on Tuesday, talk of a forthcoming bailout for bond insurer Ambac Financial (ABK) helped the market pare some earlier losses. However, Citigroup (C) fell amid worries that the giant bank may need more outside capital due to mortgage losses. Investors also weighed a disappointing update from Intel (INTC). On Tuesday, the Dow closed down 45.10 points, or 0.37%, at 12,213.80.   Stocks closed higher Wednesday as investors opted to support the market despite a mixed bag of economic news. The Federal Reserve's Beige Book said the economy has slowed since Jan. 1. Other key data showed the ISM-nonmanufacturing index rose to 49.3 in February, after plunging almost 9 points to 44.6 in January.  U.S. factory orders fell 2.5% in January after a revised 2.0% jump in December (2.3% previously).   ADP National Employment Report private sector employment index fell 23,000 in February. Stocks tumbled Thursday after news of more trouble in the credit markets and just before a crucial employment report is issued on Friday. Among the Street¡¦s concerns about the deepening credit crisis were missed margin calls by financial entities that could augur a wave of liquidation of mortgage-backed securities. Traders were also unnerved by an up-tick in mortgage foreclosures and new lows in the U.S. dollar.  On Thursday, the Dow closed down 214.6 points, or 1.75%, to 12,040.39.  Wall Street ended a dreadful week with another big loss Friday after the government surprised investors with a report that employers eliminated 63,000 jobs last month.  On Friday, Dow closed down 146 points, or 1.22% at 11,893.69.

US Weekly Market Outlook

(Week March 10, 2008 to March 14, 2008)

This week we will get numbers on wholesale inventories on Monday.  On Tuesday, the trade balance will be released.  On Thursday, the advance retail sales and weekly initial jobless claim data will be released. On Friday, we will also get information on inflation as the February consumer price index will be reported.  We will also have the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index.  We expect the Fed will have to cut interest rates further.

 

 

Major Economic Data

Current Economic Data
Date Description

Period

Actual

Consensus

Previous

03/03/08

ISM manufacturing index

Feb

48.3M

47.5M

50.7M

03/03/08

Construction spending

Jan

-1.7%

-0.6%

-1.3%

03/05/08

ISM non-manufacturing index

Feb

49.3

48.0

44.6

03/05/08

Factory order

Jan

-2.5%

-2.2%

2.3%

03/06/08

Initial jobless claims

03/01

351K

360K

373K

03/07/08

Unemployment rate

Feb

4.8%

4.9%

4.9%

03/07/08

Non-farm payroll

Feb

-63K

30K

-17K


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